Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 June 2026, Tuesday


	Mathys Erhard		Jurij Rodionov

	1	2
			Watch
	3.10	1.33
	3.30	1.32
	3.35	1.37
	2.97	1.34	Watch
	3.10	1.35
	3.09	1.32	Watch
	3.15	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.98)	1.34 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathys Erhard
29.8%

Jurij Rodionov
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

69.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathys Erhard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Jurij Rodionov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mathys Erhard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jurij Rodionov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mathys Erhard - Jurij Rodionov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Erhard is ranked ATP: 377. Rodionov is ranked ATP: 142.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Rodionov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rodionov is the team to beat.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathys Erhard
ATP Challenger
29.06.26	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
28.06.26	Jacopo Bilardo - Mathys Erhard	1:2 ✺
24.06.26	Mathys Erhard - Inaki Montes De La Torre	1:2 ✺
23.06.26	Thomas John Fancutt - Mathys Erhard	1:2 ✺
16.06.26	Mathys Erhard - Frederico Ferreira Silva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLWL
- Jurij Rodionov
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Remy Bertola - Jurij Rodionov	2:1 ✺
22.06.26	Oliver Crawford - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.06.26	Jurij Rodionov - Henry Searle	0:2 ✺
20.06.26	Titouan Droguet - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
18.06.26	Jurij Rodionov - Yi Zhou	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLWW

Mathys Erhard - Jurij Rodionov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide