Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2 (Rwanda), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 March 2025, Tuesday


	Mathys Erhard		Maxime Janvier

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.29	Watch
	1.5	2.51	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.57	2.31	Watch
	1.55	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.84)	2.33 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathys Erhard
60%

Maxime Janvier
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathys Erhard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mathys Erhard's performance.

Maxime Janvier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maxime Janvier might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mathys Erhard that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxime Janvier than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maxime Janvier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Mathys Erhard - Maxime Janvier Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Erhard will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Janvier will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Erhard is ranked ATP: 304. Janvier is ranked ATP: 286.

Recent matches Erhard is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Janvier is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Janvier could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Maxime Janvier - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathys Erhard
ATP Challenger
27.02.25	Andrej Martin - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Mathys Erhard - Luka Pavlovic	Pavlovic L. retired ✺
25.02.25	Maximus Jones - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
10.02.25	Mathys Erhard - Steven Diez	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Mathys Erhard - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 L?WLW
- Maxime Janvier
ATP Challenger
24.02.25	Maxime Janvier - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
18.02.25	Maxime Janvier - Evgeny Karlovskiy	1:2 ✺
17.02.25	Maxime Janvier - Lukas Pokorny	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Maxime Janvier - Mae Malige	2:1 ✺
04.02.25	Christian Langmo - Maxime Janvier	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLWL

Mathys Erhard - Maxime Janvier: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide