Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 April 2025, Thursday


	Matias Soto		Aziz Dougaz

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.89	1.83	Watch
	1.91	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.1)	1.82 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matias Soto
49%

Aziz Dougaz
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matias Soto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Aziz Dougaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matias Soto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aziz Dougaz than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aziz Dougaz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Matias Soto - Aziz Dougaz Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Soto will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Dougaz will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Soto (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Matias Soto will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Soto (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Soto is ranked ATP: 246. Dougaz is ranked ATP: 197.

Soto is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Dougaz is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Soto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Aziz Dougaz - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.8%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matias Soto
ATP Challenger
08.04.25	Matias Soto - Maximilian Neuchrist	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
04.04.25	Matias Soto - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:1 ✺
03.04.25	Matias Soto - Conner Huertas Del Pino	2:1 ✺
01.04.25	Matias Soto - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWW
- Aziz Dougaz
ATP Challenger
08.04.25	Aziz Dougaz - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:1 ✺
31.03.25	Aziz Dougaz - Maximilian Neuchrist	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.03.25	Aziz Dougaz - Jesse Flores	Canceled ✺
23.03.25	Petr Brunclik - Aziz Dougaz	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Aidan McHugh - Aziz Dougaz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WL?LW

Matias Soto - Aziz Dougaz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide