Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 April 2025, Tuesday


	Aziz Dougaz		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	4	1.22	Watch
	3.5	1.26	Watch
	3.8	1.22	Watch
	3.62	1.27	Watch
	4	1.22	Watch
	4.06	1.24	Watch
	3.8	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.07)	1.24 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aziz Dougaz
24.4%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
75.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

69.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

71.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aziz Dougaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aziz Dougaz's form might have worsened.

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thiago Augustin Tirante's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aziz Dougaz than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Aziz Dougaz - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tirante will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dougaz is ranked ATP: 206. Tirante is ranked ATP: 117.

Two players are playing changeable.

Tirante could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tirante is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Dougaz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aziz Dougaz
ATP Challenger
31.03.25	Aziz Dougaz - Maximilian Neuchrist	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.03.25	Aziz Dougaz - Jesse Flores	Canceled ✺
23.03.25	Petr Brunclik - Aziz Dougaz	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Aidan McHugh - Aziz Dougaz	1:2 ✺
21.03.25	Andrew Fenty - Aziz Dougaz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 L?LWW
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Challenger
31.03.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Stefan Kozlov	1:2 ✺
28.03.25	Dmitry Popko - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
27.03.25	Murphy Cassone - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
25.03.25	Maximilian Neuchrist - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.05.23	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Aziz Dougaz	0:2
ITF Tournaments
29.10.20	Aziz Dougaz - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2

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