Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Concepcion (Chile), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 March 2025, Tuesday


	Matias Soto		Petr Nesterov

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.52	2.36	Watch
	1.56	2.37	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.36	Watch
	1.52	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.38)	2.44 ↓ (2.88)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matias Soto
61.7%

Petr Nesterov
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matias Soto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matias Soto's form might have worsened.

Petr Nesterov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Petr Nesterov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matias Soto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Petr Nesterov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Matias Soto - Petr Nesterov Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Soto will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Nesterov will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Soto is ranked ATP: 244. Nesterov is ranked ATP: 448.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Nesterov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Soto is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matias Soto
ATP Challenger
20.03.25	Matias Soto - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Conner Huertas Del Pino - Matias Soto	0:2 ✺
11.03.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
03.03.25	Matias Soto - Gonzalo Villanueva	Soto M. retired
03.03.25	Matias Soto - Nicolas Kicker	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWL?W
- Petr Nesterov
ATP Challenger
20.03.25	Petr Nesterov - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
18.03.25	Robin Catry - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
11.03.25	Nicolas Mejia - Petr Nesterov	2:0 ✺
10.03.25	Enmanuel Munoz - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.02.25	Nino Ehrenschneider - Petr Nesterov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWL

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