Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Asuncion (Paraguay), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday


	Matias Soto		Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.17	1.61	Watch
	2.25	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.19	1.63	Watch
	2.17	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.85)	1.62 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matias Soto
42.5%

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matias Soto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matias Soto's form might have worsened.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matias Soto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Matias Soto - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Soto will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Pucinelli De Almeida will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Soto is ranked ATP: 244. Pucinelli De Almeida is ranked ATP: 345.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Soto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pucinelli De Almeida will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Soto won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Last Results with these Odds

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matias Soto
ATP Challenger
19.03.25	Conner Huertas Del Pino - Matias Soto	0:2 ✺
11.03.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
03.03.25	Matias Soto - Gonzalo Villanueva	Soto M. retired
03.03.25	Matias Soto - Nicolas Kicker	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
22.02.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WL?WL
- Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
ATP Challenger
18.03.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Facundo Mena	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
12.03.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Renzo Olivo	2:1 ✺
10.03.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	1:2 ✺
04.03.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
02.11.24	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Matias Soto	2:1

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