Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 June 2025, Tuesday


	Matias Soto		Tiago Pereira

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2	1.72	Watch
			Watch
	2.13	1.74
			Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.06	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.58)	1.67 ↓ (2.29)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matias Soto
44%

Tiago Pereira
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matias Soto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matias Soto's form might have worsened.

Tiago Pereira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tiago Pereira's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matias Soto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (-18%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tiago Pereira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Matias Soto - Tiago Pereira Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Soto will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Pereira will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Soto is ranked ATP: 258. Pereira is ranked ATP: 351.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Pereira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matias Soto
ITF Tournaments
27.05.25	Matias Soto - Thiago Cigarran	0:2 ✺
23.05.25	Matias Soto - Pedro Boscardin Dias	1:2 ✺
22.05.25	Matias Soto - Tomas Martinez	2:1 ✺
21.05.25	Matias Soto - Daniel Antonio Nunez	2:0 ✺
19.05.25	Matias Soto - Ignacio Antonio Becerra Otarola	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWWW
- Tiago Pereira
ATP Challenger
23.06.25	Tiago Pereira - Andres Santamarta Roig	0:2 ✺
22.06.25	Tiago Pereira - Maxime Janvier	2:1 ✺
16.06.25	Rudolf Molleker - Tiago Pereira	2:1 ✺
15.06.25	Vladyslav Orlov - Tiago Pereira	1:2 ✺
15.06.25	Andrew Paulson - Tiago Pereira	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLW?

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