Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 23 June 2025, Monday


	Tiago Pereira		Andres Santamarta Roig

	1	2
			Watch
	2.4	1.48
			Watch
	2.57	1.49
			Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.53	Watch
	2	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2)	1.55 ↓ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiago Pereira
39.5%

Andres Santamarta Roig
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiago Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tiago Pereira's form might have worsened.

Andres Santamarta Roig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andres Santamarta Roig's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tiago Pereira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andres Santamarta Roig than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andres Santamarta Roig, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tiago Pereira - Andres Santamarta Roig Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Santamarta Roig (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Santamarta Roig (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Santamarta Roig (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Preview

Pereira is ranked ATP: 349. Santamarta Roig is ranked ATP: 796.

Pereira has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Santamarta Roig is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Santamarta Roig may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiago Pereira
ATP Challenger
22.06.25	Tiago Pereira - Maxime Janvier	2:1 ✺
16.06.25	Rudolf Molleker - Tiago Pereira	2:1 ✺
15.06.25	Vladyslav Orlov - Tiago Pereira	1:2 ✺
15.06.25	Andrew Paulson - Tiago Pereira	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.06.25	Tiago Pereira - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLW?L
- Andres Santamarta Roig
ATP Challenger
22.06.25	Andres Santamarta Roig - Sandro Kopp	Kopp S. retired ✺
19.06.25	Mika Brunold - Andres Santamarta Roig	2:0 ✺
18.06.25	Andres Santamarta Roig - Ivan Gakhov	2:1 ✺
17.06.25	Andres Santamarta Roig - Alex Marti Pujolras	2:1 ✺
16.06.25	Lucas Marionneau - Andres Santamarta Roig	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 ?LWWW

Tiago Pereira - Andres Santamarta Roig: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide