Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday


	Matilde Jorge		Sinja Kraus

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.55
	2.35	1.5	Watch
	2.39	1.52	Watch
	2.45	1.54
	2.42	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.41)	1.53 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matilde Jorge
39%

Sinja Kraus
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matilde Jorge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Sinja Kraus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matilde Jorge than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matilde Jorge that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sinja Kraus than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sinja Kraus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Matilde Jorge - Sinja Kraus Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Jorge will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Kraus will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kraus (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jorge is ranked WTA: 255., and Kraus is ranked WTA: 95..

Jorge has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Kraus has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Jorge may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Kraus is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Jorge has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Matilde Jorge - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.36%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matilde Jorge
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Matilde Jorge - Celia Cervino Ruiz	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Mia Pohankova - Matilde Jorge	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Matilde Jorge - Anastasia Gasanova	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.09.26	Matilde Jorge - Anastasia Gasanova	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Sofia Johnson - Matilde Jorge	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLWWW
- Sinja Kraus
ATP Challenger
21.09.26	Lizette Cabrera - Sinja Kraus	0:2 ✺
14.09.26	Sinja Kraus - Mia Pohankova	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
31.08.26	Sinja Kraus - Karolina Muchova	0:2 ✺
WTA Monterrey
22.08.26	En Shuo Liang - Sinja Kraus	2:1 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
14.08.26	Sloane Stephens - Sinja Kraus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
19.10.24	Sinja Kraus - Matilde Jorge	0:2

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