Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Madrid 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday


	Matisse Bobichon		Gian Luca Tanner

	1	2
	1.44	2.54
	1.47	2.62
	1.39	2.69	Watch
	1.44	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.37)	2.62 ↓ (2.99)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matisse Bobichon
64.6%

Gian Luca Tanner
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matisse Bobichon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Gian Luca Tanner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matisse Bobichon than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matisse Bobichon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gian Luca Tanner than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gian Luca Tanner, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Matisse Bobichon - Gian Luca Tanner Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Tanner (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tanner (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bobichon is ranked ATP: 1068. Tanner is ranked ATP: 1420.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Bobichon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bobichon could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matisse Bobichon
ITF Tournaments
11.09.25	Pavlo Tsitsipas - Matisse Bobichon	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Matisse Bobichon - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Alejandro Juan Mano - Matisse Bobichon	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Vincent Marysko - Matisse Bobichon	2:1 ✺
21.08.25	Matisse Bobichon - Emilien Demanet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLLW
- Gian Luca Tanner
ITF Tournaments
11.09.25	Gian Luca Tanner - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Gian Luca Tanner - Noah Lopez Cherubino	2:1 ✺
04.09.25	Lucas Gerch - Gian Luca Tanner	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Gian Luca Tanner - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Gian Luca Tanner - Javier Barranco Cosano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLLL

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