Match Info

Date: 8 August 2021, Sunday


	Matteo Arnaldi		Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.1
			Watch
	1.56	2.18
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.48	2.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.88)	2.26 ↑ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
59%

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matteo Arnaldi's performance.

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matteo Arnaldi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	0%	23.1%

Matteo Arnaldi - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Sanchez Izquierdo will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaldi: 54% – 99.8%.

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Preview

Arnaldi is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sanchez Izquierdo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sanchez Izquierdo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ITF Tournaments
07.08.21	Matteo Arnaldi - Alexander Weis	2:0 ✺
06.08.21	Raul Brancaccio - Matteo Arnaldi	Brancaccio R. retired ✺
05.08.21	Matteo Arnaldi - Luca Vanni	2:1 ✺
04.08.21	Elmar Ejupovic - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
03.08.21	Pietro Rondoni - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 W?WWW
- Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
ATP Challenger
01.08.21	Francesco Forti - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:1 ✺
27.07.21	Feliciano Lopez - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:0 ✺
12.07.21	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Nicholas David Ionel	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.07.21	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Simone Roncalli	2:1 ✺
08.07.21	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Gijs Brouwer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

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