Match Info

Date: 28 June 2020, Sunday


	Matteo Berrettini		Dominic Thiem

	1	2
	2.6	1.5
	2.55	1.5
	2.3	1.5
	2.43	1.57
	2.38	1.53
	2.33	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.14)	1.51 ↓ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Berrettini
38.3%

Dominic Thiem
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Berrettini's form might have worsened.

Dominic Thiem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dominic Thiem's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Berrettini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dominic Thiem than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dominic Thiem, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	0%	38.9%

Matteo Berrettini - Dominic Thiem Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Berrettini will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Thiem will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Berrettini: 38.6% – 83.6%.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Berrettini
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
27.06.20	Richard Gasquet - Matteo Berrettini	0:4 ✺
21.06.20	Benoit Paire - Matteo Berrettini	0:4 ✺
20.06.20	Feliciano Lopez - Matteo Berrettini	4:0 ✺
15.06.20	David Goffin - Matteo Berrettini	1:3 ✺
14.06.20	Dustin Brown - Matteo Berrettini	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWW
- Dominic Thiem
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
27.06.20	David Goffin - Dominic Thiem	1:3 ✺
Exhibition Pro Series Austria Men
26.06.20	Dominic Thiem - David Pichler	2:0 ✺
25.06.20	Dominic Thiem - David Novak	2:0 ✺
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
21.06.20	Dominic Thiem - Stefanos Tsitsipas	3:1 ✺
20.06.20	Dominic Thiem - Richard Gasquet	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP World Tour Finals
14.11.19	Dominic Thiem - Matteo Berrettini	0:2
ATP Vienna
26.10.19	Dominic Thiem - Matteo Berrettini	2:1
ATP Shanghai
11.10.19	Matteo Berrettini - Dominic Thiem	2:0
ATP Roland Garros
01.06.18	Dominic Thiem - Matteo Berrettini	3:1

Matteo Berrettini - Dominic Thiem: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide