The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Matteo Berrettini 38.3%
Dominic Thiem 61.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.4%
55.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
56.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matteo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Berrettini's form might have worsened.
Dominic Thiem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dominic Thiem's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Berrettini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dominic Thiem than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dominic Thiem, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
61.1%
0%
38.9%
Matteo Berrettini - Dominic Thiem Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Berrettini will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Thiem will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Berrettini: 38.6% โ 83.6%.
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