Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Rod Laver Arena (Melbourne)


	Matteo Berrettini		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
	4.5	1.2
	4.2	1.23
	3.97	1.25
	4.2	1.22
	3.95	1.26	Watch
	4	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↓ (4.22)	1.23 ↓ (1.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Berrettini
22.9%

Alex De Minaur
77.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Matteo Berrettini have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Alex De Minaur have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Matteo Berrettini - Alex De Minaur Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Berrettini will win (votes: 1 - 25%). De Minaur will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. De Minaur (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Berrettini Matteo - withdrawn.

Berrettini is ranked ATP: 56. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 6.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Berrettini won 3.

De Minaur has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

De Minaur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, De Minaur is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Berrettini won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Berrettini
Exhibition Kooyong Men
14.01.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
23.11.25	Matteo Berrettini - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Matteo Berrettini - Raphael Collignon	2:0 ✺
ATP Metz
06.11.25	Matteo Berrettini - Learner Tien	1:2 ✺
05.11.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWLW
- Alex De Minaur
ATP United Cup
09.01.26	Alex De Minaur - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Alex De Minaur - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Alex De Minaur - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
06.12.25	Alex De Minaur - Tomas Machac	3:1 ✺
06.12.25	Alex De Minaur - Andrey Rublev	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Vienna
24.10.25	Alex De Minaur - Matteo Berrettini	2:0
ATP Miami
25.03.25	Alex De Minaur - Matteo Berrettini	0:2
ATP Wimbledon
07.07.23	Matteo Berrettini - Alex De Minaur	3:0
ATP Cup
02.01.22	Matteo Berrettini - Alex De Minaur	0:2
ATP London
19.06.21	Matteo Berrettini - Alex De Minaur	2:0
ATP Challenger
05.08.17	Alex De Minaur - Matteo Berrettini	2:0

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