Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Ibague, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday


	Matteo Covato		Lucio Ratti

	1	2
	8.20	1.03	Watch
	3.04	1.34	Watch
	2.8	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.68 ↑ (2.8)	1.24 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Matteo Covato
21%

Lucio Ratti
79%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

67.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

72.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Covato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Covato's form might have worsened.

Lucio Ratti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucio Ratti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Covato than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Covato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucio Ratti than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucio Ratti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Matteo Covato - Lucio Ratti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Covato is ranked ATP: 939. Ratti is ranked ATP: 855.

Both players are struggling and far from their best.

Covato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ratti is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Covato
ITF Tournaments
23.10.25	Matteo Covato - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	0:2 ✺
22.10.25	Matteo Covato - Bruno Fernandez	2:0 ✺
15.10.25	Nicolas Garcia Longo - Matteo Covato	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.10.25	Mariano Kestelboim - Matteo Covato	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.09.25	Matteo Covato - Sydney Zick	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- Lucio Ratti
ITF Tournaments
22.10.25	Carlos Maria Zarate - Lucio Ratti	2:1 ✺
16.10.25	Fernando Cavallo - Lucio Ratti	2:0 ✺
15.10.25	Lucio Ratti - Ignacio Monzon	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.09.25	Lucio Ratti - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Lucio Ratti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLL

Upcoming Matches