Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BERGAMO (ITALY), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 30 October 2023, Monday


	Matteo Gigante		Alex Molcan

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.1	1.33
	3	1.35	Watch
	3.17	1.37
	3.25	1.33
	3.16	1.32	Watch
	3.2	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.57)	1.34 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Gigante
29.7%

Alex Molcan
70.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Gigante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Gigante's form might have worsened.

Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex Molcan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Gigante than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Matteo Gigante - Alex Molcan Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex Molcan will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gigante is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Molcan is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gigante could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Molcan is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Gigante
ATP Challenger
17.10.23	Matteo Gigante - Arthur Cazaux	0:2 ✺
02.10.23	Matteo Gigante - Franco Agamenone	0:2 ✺
28.09.23	Matteo Gigante - Benjamin Hassan	1:2 ✺
26.09.23	Matteo Gigante - Edoardo Lavagno	2:0 ✺
05.09.23	Matteo Gigante - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL
- Alex Molcan
ATP Challenger
21.10.23	Alex Molcan - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
20.10.23	Mattia Bellucci - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
19.10.23	Marius Copil - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
17.10.23	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Alex Molcan	Kuzmanov D. retired ✺
10.10.23	Alex Molcan - Joris De Loore	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWW?L

Matteo Gigante - Alex Molcan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide