Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Saint Brieuc (France), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 October 2024, Wednesday


	Matteo Martineau		Calvin Hemery

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.63	2.14	Watch
	1.68	2.23
	1.67	2.13	Watch
			Watch
	1.62	2.21	Watch
	1.63	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.85)	2.17 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Martineau
56.9%

Calvin Hemery
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Martineau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matteo Martineau's performance.

Calvin Hemery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Calvin Hemery might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Matteo Martineau - Calvin Hemery Predictions

Users Predictions: Matteo Martineau will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Martineau is ranked ATP: 204. Hemery is ranked ATP: 234.

Martineau is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Hemery is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hemery could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Martineau won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Last Results with these Odds

Calvin Hemery - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.82%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
13.10.24	Benjamin Bonzi - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
12.10.24	Matteo Martineau - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
11.10.24	Matteo Martineau - Jerome Kym	2:0 ✺
10.10.24	Constant Lestienne - Matteo Martineau	1:2 ✺
08.10.24	Antoine Bellier - Matteo Martineau	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWWW
- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
08.10.24	Calvin Hemery - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
03.10.24	Calvin Hemery - Lucas Pouille	1:2 ✺
01.10.24	Calvin Hemery - Martin Damm	2:1 ✺
25.09.24	Calvin Hemery - Mark Lajal	1:2 ✺
23.09.24	Richard Gasquet - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
25.06.20	Calvin Hemery - Matteo Martineau	2:0

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