Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday


	Matteo Martineau		Cesar Bouchelaghem

	1	2
			Watch
	1.70	2.00
	1.73	1.99
	1.65	2.11	Watch
	1.69	2.09
	1.7	2.01	Watch
	1.73	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.77)	2.03 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Matteo Martineau
54.4%

Cesar Bouchelaghem
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Martineau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Cesar Bouchelaghem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Martineau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesar Bouchelaghem than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cesar Bouchelaghem, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Matteo Martineau - Cesar Bouchelaghem Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Martineau is ranked ATP: 281., and Bouchelaghem is ranked ATP: 490..

Martineau has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Bouchelaghem is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Martineau may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
17.09.26	Borna Gojo - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Max Schoenhaus - Matteo Martineau	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Gijs Brouwer - Matteo Martineau	2:1 ✺
26.08.26	Emile Hudd - Matteo Martineau	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Billy Blaydes - Matteo Martineau	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLW
- Cesar Bouchelaghem
ITF Tournaments
16.09.26	Cesar Bouchelaghem - Benjamin Willwerth	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Cesar Bouchelaghem - Oscar Brown	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Cesar Bouchelaghem - Kasra Rahmani	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Cesar Bouchelaghem - Roan Jones	2:0 ✺
10.09.26	Cesar Bouchelaghem - Kris van Wyk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWW

Matteo Martineau - Cesar Bouchelaghem: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide