Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rennes, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday


	Max Schoenhaus		Matteo Martineau

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.42	2.6	Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.49	2.65
	1.43	2.62	Watch
	1.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.59)	2.61 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Schoenhaus
64.4%

Matteo Martineau
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Schoenhaus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Max Schoenhaus's performance.

Matteo Martineau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matteo Martineau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Schoenhaus than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Max Schoenhaus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matteo Martineau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Max Schoenhaus - Matteo Martineau Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Schoenhaus will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Schoenhaus is ranked ATP: 292. Martineau is ranked ATP: 281.

Schoenhaus is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Martineau has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Schoenhaus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Schoenhaus will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Matteo Martineau - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.84%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Schoenhaus
ATP Challenger
14.09.26	Max Schoenhaus - Patrick Brady	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Max Schoenhaus - Adhithya Ganesan	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Max Schoenhaus - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
02.09.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Max Schoenhaus	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Max Schoenhaus	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWW
- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
07.09.26	Gijs Brouwer - Matteo Martineau	2:1 ✺
26.08.26	Emile Hudd - Matteo Martineau	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Billy Blaydes - Matteo Martineau	1:2 ✺
18.08.26	Matteo Martineau - Lui Maxted	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Max Dahlin - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL

Max Schoenhaus - Matteo Martineau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide