Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BERGAMO (ITALY), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 1 November 2023, Wednesday


	Matteo Martineau		Fabio Fognini

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.82	1.9	Watch
	1.88	1.94
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.97	1.77	Watch
	1.86	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.2)	1.87 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Martineau
50.3%

Fabio Fognini
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Martineau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matteo Martineau's performance.

Fabio Fognini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fabio Fognini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.6%	0%	30.4%

Matteo Martineau - Fabio Fognini Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Martineau will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Fognini will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Martineau: 50.8% – 88.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Martineau is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fognini has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fognini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
30.10.23	Robin Bertrand - Matteo Martineau	0:2 ✺
29.10.23	Filiberto Fumagalli - Matteo Martineau	0:2 ✺
24.10.23	Matteo Martineau - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
23.10.23	Gijs Brouwer - Matteo Martineau	1:2 ✺
22.10.23	Matteo Martineau - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLWW
- Fabio Fognini
ATP Basel
21.10.23	Fabio Fognini - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.10.23	Alexandre Muller - Fabio Fognini	2:1 ✺
11.10.23	Denis Yevseyev - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.23	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.09.23	Filip Misolic - Fabio Fognini	Fognini F. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 LLLL?

Matteo Martineau - Fabio Fognini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide