Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pau - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday


	Matteo Martineau		Henri Squire

	1	2
			Watch
	2.08	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.68
	2.01	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.05	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.11)	1.69 ↑ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Martineau
44.8%

Henri Squire
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Martineau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Henri Squire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Martineau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henri Squire than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Henri Squire, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Matteo Martineau - Henri Squire Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Martineau is ranked ATP: 282. Squire is ranked ATP: 287.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Martineau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Martineau won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Matteo Martineau - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 44.39%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Martineau
ATP Montpellier
01.02.26	Matteo Martineau - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.01.26	Matteo Martineau - Thomas Faurel	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Matteo Martineau - Arthur Nagel	2:1 ✺
26.01.26	Matteo Martineau - Leo Raquillet	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	Michael Geerts - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWWL
- Henri Squire
ATP Challenger
08.02.26	Jonas Forejtek - Henri Squire	Canceled ✺
04.02.26	Buvaysar Gadamauri - Henri Squire	2:1 ✺
20.01.26	Petr Brunclik - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
19.01.26	Henri Squire - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Henri Squire - Buvaysar Gadamauri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 ?LLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.10.25	Matteo Martineau - Henri Squire	0:2
14.05.24	Matteo Martineau - Henri Squire	2:1
ITF Tournaments
10.02.23	Henri Squire - Matteo Martineau	2:0

Matteo Martineau - Henri Squire: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide