Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Segovia, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 July 2026, Friday


	Matteo Martineau		Yanki Erel

	1	2
			Watch
	2.20	1.60
	2.12	1.68	Watch
	2.37	1.66
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.30	1.62
	2.16	1.62	Watch
	2.22	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.83)	1.62 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Matteo Martineau
42.1%

Yanki Erel
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Martineau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Martineau's form might have worsened.

Yanki Erel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yanki Erel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Martineau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yanki Erel than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yanki Erel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Matteo Martineau - Yanki Erel Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Martineau will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Erel will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Martineau (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Martineau is ranked ATP: 335. Erel is ranked ATP: 299.

Recent performances by Martineau have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Erel is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Martineau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Erel will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Matteo Martineau - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Yanki Erel - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
23.07.26	Matteo Martineau - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine - Matteo Martineau	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Chris Rodesch - Matteo Martineau	Canceled ✺
14.07.26	Matteo Martineau - Gerard Campana Lee	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Matteo Martineau - Philip Henning	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WW?LL
- Yanki Erel
ATP Challenger
23.07.26	Yanki Erel - Dominik Palan	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Yanki Erel - Sergey Fomin	2:1 ✺
15.07.26	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Yanki Erel	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Yanki Erel - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.07.26	Yanki Erel - Oliver Crawford	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWW

Upcoming Matches