Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Segovia, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 July 2026, Thursday


	Matteo Martineau		Gonzalo Villanueva

	1	2
			Watch
	1.60	2.20
	1.61	2.25	Watch
	1.71	2.27
	1.63	2.14	Watch
	1.64	2.20	Watch
	1.60	2.20	Watch
	1.55	2.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.52)	2.22 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Martineau
57.8%

Gonzalo Villanueva
42.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.8%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Martineau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Gonzalo Villanueva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Martineau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonzalo Villanueva than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gonzalo Villanueva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Matteo Martineau - Gonzalo Villanueva Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Martineau will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Villanueva will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Martineau is ranked ATP: 335. Villanueva is ranked ATP: 320.

Martineau has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Villanueva is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Martineau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Martineau is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Villanueva will win today's game, with odds of 2.58.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Gonzalo Villanueva - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.2%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
21.07.26	Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine - Matteo Martineau	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Chris Rodesch - Matteo Martineau	Canceled ✺
14.07.26	Matteo Martineau - Gerard Campana Lee	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Matteo Martineau - Philip Henning	0:2 ✺
24.06.26	Matteo Martineau - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 W?LLL
- Gonzalo Villanueva
ATP Challenger
21.07.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Ilya Ivashka	2:0 ✺
18.07.26	Max Alcala Gurri - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Stefano Napolitano - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
15.07.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Michele Ribecai	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WLWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
16.10.26	Matteo Martineau - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	✺

Matteo Martineau - Gonzalo Villanueva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide