Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Tamworth, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tamworth 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Matthew Dellavedova		Hayden Jones

	1	2
			Watch
	1.24	3.50
	1.2	4
	1.24	3.6	Watch
	1.22	4.15
	1.2	3.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.39)	3.84 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthew Dellavedova
75.9%

Hayden Jones
24.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Dellavedova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matthew Dellavedova's performance.

Hayden Jones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hayden Jones might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matthew Dellavedova than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matthew Dellavedova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hayden Jones than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hayden Jones could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Matthew Dellavedova - Hayden Jones Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dellavedova is ranked ATP: 250., and Jones is ranked ATP: 897..

Dellavedova is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Performances by Jones have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Jones could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Dellavedova is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Dellavedova has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:0 (averaging 2:0 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Hayden Jones - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 33.99%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Dellavedova
ITF Tournaments
17.10.26	Martin Borisiouk - Matthew Dellavedova	0:2 ✺
16.10.26	Egor Pleshivtsev - Matthew Dellavedova	0:2 ✺
16.10.26	Arthur Weber - Matthew Dellavedova	1:2 ✺
15.10.26	Yaroslav Demin - Matthew Dellavedova	1:2 ✺
12.10.26	Kaigaoge Kang - Matthew Dellavedova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWW
- Hayden Jones
ITF Tournaments
09.10.26	Stefan Vujic - Hayden Jones	2:0 ✺
08.10.26	Hayden Jones - Colin Sinclair	2:0 ✺
07.10.26	Makoto Ochi - Hayden Jones	0:2 ✺
04.10.26	Casey Hoole - Hayden Jones	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Hayden Jones - Derek Pham	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
22.07.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Hayden Jones	2:0
28.11.24	Hayden Jones - Matthew Dellavedova	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Dellavedova
ITF Tournaments
30.10.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Jeremy Beale	✺

Matthew Dellavedova - Hayden Jones