Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Vicenza - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday


	Matthew Dellavedova		Stefano Travaglia

	1	2
			Watch
	3.7	1.22	Watch
	3.75	1.23	Watch
	4.5	1.19
	4.14	1.21	Watch
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.88	1.23	Watch
	3.75	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (1.84)	1.22 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthew Dellavedova
23.8%

Stefano Travaglia
76.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Dellavedova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-26.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matthew Dellavedova's form might have worsened.

Stefano Travaglia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stefano Travaglia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Dellavedova than the current prediction. (+28.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matthew Dellavedova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (-28.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stefano Travaglia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Matthew Dellavedova - Stefano Travaglia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dellavedova is ranked ATP: 392. Travaglia is ranked ATP: 298.

Dellavedova is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Travaglia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Dellavedova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Matthew Dellavedova - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Stefano Travaglia - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Dellavedova
ATP Challenger
18.05.25	Martin Krumich - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.05.25	Matthew Dellavedova - Giannicola Misasi	Canceled ✺
09.05.25	Matthew Dellavedova - Oliver Crawford	Dellavedova M. retired ✺
08.05.25	Matthew Dellavedova - Alec Beckley	2:0 ✺
07.05.25	Matthew Dellavedova - Marko Maric	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 L??WW
- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
19.05.25	Viktor Durasovic - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
12.05.25	Stefano Travaglia - James Watt	1:2 ✺
11.05.25	Stefano Travaglia - Alaa Trifi	2:0 ✺
06.05.25	Stefano Travaglia - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
05.05.25	Stefano Travaglia - Manas Manoj Dhamne	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWLW

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