Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Francavilla, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday


	Stefano Travaglia		Aslan Karatsev

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.25	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.6	Watch
	2.25	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.35)	1.58 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Travaglia
41.2%

Aslan Karatsev
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Travaglia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Aslan Karatsev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Stefano Travaglia - Aslan Karatsev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Travaglia is ranked ATP: 309. Karatsev is ranked ATP: 191.

Travaglia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Karatsev has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Travaglia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Karatsev is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Stefano Travaglia - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.43%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
05.05.25	Stefano Travaglia - Manas Manoj Dhamne	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Stefano Travaglia - Andrea Paolini	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Timofey Skatov - Stefano Travaglia	Skatov T. walkover ✺
22.04.25	Paul Jubb - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
21.04.25	Stefano Travaglia - Jiri Vesely	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WW?WW
- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Challenger
30.04.25	Petr Brunclik - Aslan Karatsev	2:1 ✺
29.04.25	Aslan Karatsev - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
30.03.25	Harold Mayot - Aslan Karatsev	Karatsev A. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
15.03.25	Federico Cina - Aslan Karatsev	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Chris Rodesch - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LW?LW

Stefano Travaglia - Aslan Karatsev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide