Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 9 June 2025, Monday


	Matthew Dellavedova		Tom Gentzsch

	1	2
			Watch
	2.54	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.4	Watch
	3.06	1.36	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.38	Watch
	2.7	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.25)	1.4 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthew Dellavedova
33.5%

Tom Gentzsch
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Dellavedova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matthew Dellavedova's form might have worsened.

Tom Gentzsch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tom Gentzsch's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Dellavedova than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matthew Dellavedova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tom Gentzsch than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tom Gentzsch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Matthew Dellavedova - Tom Gentzsch Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dellavedova will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Gentzsch will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

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Preview

Dellavedova is ranked ATP: 396. Gentzsch is ranked ATP: 445.

Dellavedova has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gentzsch is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gentzsch may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gentzsch might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Gentzsch will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Matthew Dellavedova - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.1%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Dellavedova
ATP Challenger
08.06.25	Matthew Dellavedova - Etienne Donnet	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.06.25	Etienne Donnet - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.05.25	Marco Cecchinato - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
25.05.25	Matthew Dellavedova - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
18.05.25	Martin Krumich - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWL
- Tom Gentzsch
ATP Challenger
08.06.25	Egor Agafonov - Tom Gentzsch	0:2 ✺
02.06.25	Sumit Nagal - Tom Gentzsch	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.05.25	Tom Gentzsch - Eero Vasa	2:0 ✺
24.05.25	Tom Gentzsch - Michael Agwi	2:0 ✺
23.05.25	Tom Gentzsch - Johan Nikles	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWW

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