Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Monastir 10, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Matthew Donald		Fabrizio Andaloro

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	3.29	1.32
	3.31	1.26	Watch
	3.32	1.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (2.5)	1.29 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthew Donald
28.1%

Fabrizio Andaloro
71.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Donald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matthew Donald's form might have worsened.

Fabrizio Andaloro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fabrizio Andaloro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Donald than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matthew Donald, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabrizio Andaloro than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fabrizio Andaloro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Matthew Donald - Fabrizio Andaloro Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Andaloro (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Andaloro (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Andaloro (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Donald is ranked ATP: 636. Andaloro is ranked ATP: 294.

Donald is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Andaloro has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Andaloro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Andaloro will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Fabrizio Andaloro - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 62.34%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Donald
ITF Tournaments
14.11.25	Matthew Donald - Alexandre Aubriot	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Matthew Donald - Andrea Paolini	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Matthew Donald - Remy Dugardin	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Tom Paris - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
23.10.25	Adrien Gobat - Matthew Donald	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLW
- Fabrizio Andaloro
ITF Tournaments
14.11.25	Aziz Ouakaa - Fabrizio Andaloro	0:2 ✺
13.11.25	Daniil Ostapenkov - Fabrizio Andaloro	0:2 ✺
12.11.25	Markus Molder - Fabrizio Andaloro	1:2 ✺
05.11.25	Fabrizio Andaloro - Buvaysar Gadamauri	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.10.25	Harry Wendelken - Fabrizio Andaloro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWWLL

Matthew Donald - Fabrizio Andaloro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide