Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sarreguemines, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday


	Tom Paris		Matthew Donald

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.26	3.72
	1.23	3.57	Watch
	1.27	3.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.35)	3.59 ↑ (2.99)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tom Paris
74.1%

Matthew Donald
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.9%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tom Paris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tom Paris's performance.

Matthew Donald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matthew Donald might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tom Paris than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Donald than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Tom Paris - Matthew Donald Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paris is ranked ATP: 278. Donald is ranked ATP: 610.

Paris is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Donald has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Paris may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Paris is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paris won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tom Paris
ITF Tournaments
23.10.25	Tom Paris - Christian Djonov	2:0 ✺
21.10.25	Tom Paris - Louis Wessels	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.10.25	Tom Paris - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Tom Paris - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Tom Paris - Leo Raquillet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWW
- Matthew Donald
ITF Tournaments
23.10.25	Adrien Gobat - Matthew Donald	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Richard Antoni - Matthew Donald	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.10.25	Tom Paris - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Alexander Donski - Matthew Donald	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.10.25	Arthur Nagel - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.10.25	Tom Paris - Matthew Donald	2:0

Tom Paris - Matthew Donald: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide