Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sarreguemines, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday


	Adrien Gobat		Matthew Donald

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.75	2
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.75	1.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.24)	1.98 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrien Gobat
53.2%

Matthew Donald
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrien Gobat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adrien Gobat's performance.

Matthew Donald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matthew Donald might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrien Gobat than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adrien Gobat that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Donald than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matthew Donald could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Adrien Gobat - Matthew Donald Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gobat (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gobat is ranked ATP: 736. Donald is ranked ATP: 610.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Gobat may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrien Gobat
ITF Tournaments
21.10.25	Adrien Gobat - Tim Handel	2:0 ✺
16.10.25	Nicolas Ifi - Adrien Gobat	2:0 ✺
15.10.25	Adrien Gobat - Maxence Beauge	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.10.25	Adrien Gobat - David Jorda Sanchis	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.09.25	Calvin Mueller - Adrien Gobat	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWLL
- Matthew Donald
ITF Tournaments
21.10.25	Richard Antoni - Matthew Donald	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.10.25	Tom Paris - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Alexander Donski - Matthew Donald	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.10.25	Arthur Nagel - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Matthew Donald - Matyas Cerny	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLW

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