Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Vienna, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday


	Matthias Ujvary		Noel Larwig

	1	2
	1.40	2.65
	1.47	2.48
	1.43	2.88
	1.39	2.71	Watch
	1.41	2.85
	1.41	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.47)	2.7 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthias Ujvary
65.6%

Noel Larwig
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthias Ujvary has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Noel Larwig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matthias Ujvary than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matthias Ujvary that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noel Larwig than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Noel Larwig could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Matthias Ujvary - Noel Larwig Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ujvary is ranked ATP: 1039. Larwig is ranked ATP: 1318.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Ujvary might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthias Ujvary
ITF Tournaments
19.08.26	Matthias Ujvary - Facundo Yunis	1:2 ✺
09.08.26	Peter Makk - Matthias Ujvary	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Matthias Ujvary - Karol Filar	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Massimo Pizzigoni - Matthias Ujvary	0:2 ✺
06.08.26	Matthias Ujvary - Samir Hamza Reguig	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLWWW
- Noel Larwig
ITF Tournaments
20.08.26	Noel Larwig - Oscar Moraing	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.08.26	Denis Yevseyev - Noel Larwig	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.08.26	Noel Larwig - Alec Beckley	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Noel Larwig - Kacper Knitter	2:1 ✺
30.07.26	Alan Wazny - Noel Larwig	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLWL

Matthias Ujvary - Noel Larwig: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide