Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai (China), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 3 October 2024, Thursday


	Mattia Bellucci		Billy Harris

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.43	2.85	Watch
	1.49	2.79
	1.45	2.83	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.47	2.7	Watch
	1.43	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.64)	2.83 ↑ (2.27)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
66.3%

Billy Harris
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mattia Bellucci's performance.

Billy Harris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Billy Harris might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Billy Harris than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Mattia Bellucci - Billy Harris Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Bellucci will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Harris will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bellucci: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bellucci is ranked ATP: 103. Harris is ranked ATP: 104.

Bellucci is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Harris is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bellucci could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bellucci is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bellucci won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Billy Harris - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 41.94%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Shanghai
01.10.24	Mattia Bellucci - Aslan Karatsev	2:0 ✺
30.09.24	Mattia Bellucci - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
25.09.24	Jack Draper - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
24.09.24	Mattia Bellucci - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Alexandre Muller - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWW
- Billy Harris
ATP Shanghai
01.10.24	Billy Harris - Beibit Zhukayev	1:2 ✺
30.09.24	Billy Harris - Vadym Ursu	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
24.09.24	Billy Harris - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
11.09.24	Otto Virtanen - Billy Harris	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
22.08.24	Billy Harris - Timofey Skatov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.03.24	Billy Harris - Mattia Bellucci	2:1
ITF Tournaments
14.02.20	Billy Harris - Mattia Bellucci	2:1

Mattia Bellucci - Billy Harris: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide