Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai (China) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 1 October 2024, Tuesday


	Mattia Bellucci		Aslan Karatsev

	1	2
			Watch
	1.33	3.1
	1.35	2.95	Watch
	1.35	3.3
	1.36	3.18	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.35	3.04	Watch
	1.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.47)	3.04 ↑ (2.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
69.1%

Aslan Karatsev
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mattia Bellucci's performance.

Aslan Karatsev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aslan Karatsev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Mattia Bellucci - Aslan Karatsev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bellucci is ranked ATP: 103. Karatsev is ranked ATP: 139.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Karatsev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bellucci will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bellucci won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Shanghai
30.09.24	Mattia Bellucci - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
25.09.24	Jack Draper - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
24.09.24	Mattia Bellucci - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Alexandre Muller - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
21.09.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWL
- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Shanghai
30.09.24	Aziz Dougaz - Aslan Karatsev	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.09.24	James McCabe - Aslan Karatsev	2:0 ✺
24.09.24	Illya Marchenko - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
19.09.24	Aslan Karatsev - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
22.08.24	Aslan Karatsev - Bu Yunchaokete	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hangzhou
19.09.24	Aslan Karatsev - Mattia Bellucci	0:2

Mattia Bellucci - Aslan Karatsev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide