Match Info

Date: 3 August 2022, Wednesday


	Mattia Bellucci		Camilo Ugo Carabelli

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.3	1.57
	2.17	1.59
	2.2	1.68
	2.64	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.23)	1.59 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
41.1%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Mattia Bellucci - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bellucci will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ugo Carabelli: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Bellucci could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ugo Carabelli will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
01.08.22	Mattia Bellucci - Matias Zukas	2:0 ✺
31.07.22	Mattia Bellucci - Riccardo Balzerani	2:0 ✺
25.07.22	Mattia Bellucci - Timofey Skatov	Bellucci M. retired ✺
20.07.22	Mattia Bellucci - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
19.07.22	Andreas Seppi - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WW?LW
- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Challenger
02.08.22	Giulio Zeppieri - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Canceled ✺
26.07.22	Francesco Passaro - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1 ✺
25.07.22	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Manuel Mazza	2:1 ✺
24.07.22	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Francesco Vilardo	2:0 ✺
24.07.22	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Gianmarco Ferrari	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 ?LWW?

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