Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ANDRIA (ITALY), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 22 November 2022, Tuesday


	Mattia Bellucci		Dalibor Svrcina

	1	2
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.28	3.4
	1.25	3.85
	1.25	3.9
	1.28	3.72
	1.25	3.75
	1.28	3.4	Watch
	1.24	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.45)	3.73 ↑ (2.52)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
74.8%

Dalibor Svrcina
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mattia Bellucci's performance.

Dalibor Svrcina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dalibor Svrcina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mattia Bellucci that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalibor Svrcina than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dalibor Svrcina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Mattia Bellucci - Dalibor Svrcina Predictions

Users Predictions: Mattia Bellucci will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Bellucci could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bellucci is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
16.11.22	Mattia Bellucci - Adrian Andreev	1:2 ✺
14.11.22	Norbert Gombos - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
26.10.22	Antoine Escoffier - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
23.10.22	Mattia Bellucci - Cem Ilkel	2:1 ✺
22.10.22	Viktor Durasovic - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWW
- Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Challenger
18.10.22	John Millman - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
13.10.22	Yibing Wu - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
11.10.22	Dalibor Svrcina - Steve Johnson	2:1 ✺
10.10.22	Christopher Eubanks - Dalibor Svrcina	1:2 ✺
05.10.22	Rinky Hijikata - Dalibor Svrcina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLWWL

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