Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MAIA (PORTUGAL) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	Max Alcala Gurri		Joao Domingues

	1	2
			Watch
	2.4	1.48
	2.4	1.5
	2.46	1.53
	2.62	1.44
	2.31	1.56	Watch
	2.4	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.65)	1.5 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Alcala Gurri
38.2%

Joao Domingues
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Alcala Gurri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Joao Domingues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Domingues than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Max Alcala Gurri - Joao Domingues Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Alcala Gurri will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Domingues will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Domingues: 50.6% – 100%.

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Preview

Recent matches Alcala Gurri is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Domingues is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alcala Gurri could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Domingues will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Alcala Gurri
ITF Tournaments
16.11.23	Max Alcala Gurri - Svyatoslav Gulin	1:2 ✺
15.11.23	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
19.10.23	Guido Ivan Justo - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0
19.10.23	Max Alcala Gurri - Vicente Oliver Moratalla	2:0 ✺
18.10.23	Kane Bonsach Ganley - Max Alcala Gurri	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLWW
- Joao Domingues
ITF Tournaments
23.11.23	Hynek Barton - Joao Domingues	2:0 ✺
21.11.23	Luke Simkiss - Joao Domingues	0:2 ✺
14.11.23	Joao Domingues - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
17.10.23	Jaime Faria - Joao Domingues	2:0 ✺
11.10.23	Valentin Royer - Joao Domingues	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL

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