Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sabadell, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday


	Max Alcala Gurri		Oliver Crawford

	1	2
			Watch
	1.9	1.78
	1.98	1.8
	2.03	1.75	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.97	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.24)	1.77 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Alcala Gurri
47.5%

Oliver Crawford
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Alcala Gurri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Max Alcala Gurri's performance.

Oliver Crawford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oliver Crawford might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Max Alcala Gurri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliver Crawford than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oliver Crawford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Max Alcala Gurri - Oliver Crawford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 435. Crawford is ranked ATP: 295.

Now, both players are in good form.

Alcala Gurri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Crawford will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Crawford will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alcala Gurri won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Alcala Gurri
ITF Tournaments
02.05.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Sekou Bangoura	2:0 ✺
30.04.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Tomas Curras Abasolo	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Gabriele Piraino - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
25.04.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Hynek Barton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWLW
- Oliver Crawford
ITF Tournaments
02.05.25	Marvin Moeller - Oliver Crawford	0:2 ✺
01.05.25	Kuzey Cekirge - Oliver Crawford	1:2 ✺
30.04.25	Georgii Kravchenko - Oliver Crawford	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.04.25	Oliver Crawford - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
24.04.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Oliver Crawford	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
19.07.23	Oliver Crawford - Max Alcala Gurri	2:1

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