Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cordenons - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday


	Max Alcala Gurri		Sebastian Dominko

	1	2
			Watch
	1.33	3
	1.33	3.05
	1.32	3.3
	1.43	2.69	Watch
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.33	3.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.58)	3.07 ↑ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Alcala Gurri
69.6%

Sebastian Dominko
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Alcala Gurri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Max Alcala Gurri's performance.

Sebastian Dominko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sebastian Dominko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Max Alcala Gurri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Dominko than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sebastian Dominko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Max Alcala Gurri - Sebastian Dominko Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Alcala Gurri will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Dominko will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Alcala Gurri (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcala Gurri (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 427. Dominko is ranked ATP: 1003.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Alcala Gurri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Alcala Gurri is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Alcala Gurri
ITF Tournaments
25.07.25	Miguel Damas - Max Alcala Gurri	2:1 ✺
24.07.25	Ignacio Parisca - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
23.07.25	Herman Hoeyeraal - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.07.25	Oriol Roca Batalla - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
01.07.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWWLL
- Sebastian Dominko
ATP Challenger
21.07.25	Hynek Barton - Sebastian Dominko	2:0 ✺
20.07.25	Sebastian Dominko - Martin Krumich	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.07.25	Sebastian Dominko - Felix Balshaw	0:2 ✺
09.07.25	Alex Knaff - Sebastian Dominko	1:2 ✺
02.07.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Sebastian Dominko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWL

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