Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Modena, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 July 2025, Tuesday


	Thiago Seyboth Wild		Max Alcala Gurri

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.33	3.05	Watch
	1.33	3.37
			Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.33	3.15	Watch
	1.33	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.44)	3.1 ↑ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Seyboth Wild
69.8%

Max Alcala Gurri
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Seyboth Wild has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thiago Seyboth Wild's performance.

Max Alcala Gurri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Max Alcala Gurri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Seyboth Wild than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thiago Seyboth Wild that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Max Alcala Gurri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Thiago Seyboth Wild - Max Alcala Gurri Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Seyboth Wild will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Alcala Gurri will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Games - Alcala Gurri (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcala Gurri (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Seyboth Wild is ranked ATP: 129. Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 425.

Seyboth Wild is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alcala Gurri has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Seyboth Wild may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Seyboth Wild could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Seyboth Wild
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Mikhail Kukushkin	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
21.05.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	0:2 ✺
20.05.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Hugo Dellien - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Thiago Seyboth Wild	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWL?
- Max Alcala Gurri
ATP Challenger
30.06.25	Raul Brancaccio - Max Alcala Gurri	Brancaccio R. retired ✺
29.06.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Svyatoslav Gulin	Gulin S. retired ✺
24.06.25	Marco Cecchinato - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
23.06.25	Petr Nesterov - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
22.06.25	Luca Castagnola - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 ??LWW

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