Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Denia, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 July 2025, Friday


	Miguel Damas		Max Alcala Gurri

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.83	1.94
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.82	1.88	Watch
	1.8	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.85)	1.86 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miguel Damas
50.5%

Max Alcala Gurri
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miguel Damas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Max Alcala Gurri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Miguel Damas - Max Alcala Gurri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Damas is ranked ATP: 413. Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 426.

Damas is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Alcala Gurri has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Alcala Gurri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Damas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Max Alcala Gurri - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miguel Damas
ITF Tournaments
24.07.25	Miguel Damas - Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Miguel Damas - S D Prajwal Dev	2:1 ✺
16.07.25	Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
06.07.25	Miguel Damas - Felix Gill	Gill F. retired ✺
05.07.25	Miguel Damas - Leo Raquillet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWL?W
- Max Alcala Gurri
ITF Tournaments
24.07.25	Ignacio Parisca - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
23.07.25	Herman Hoeyeraal - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.07.25	Oriol Roca Batalla - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
01.07.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
30.06.25	Raul Brancaccio - Max Alcala Gurri	Brancaccio R. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLL?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.05.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Miguel Damas	0:2
05.07.24	Max Alcala Gurri - Miguel Damas	0:2
16.03.23	Max Alcala Gurri - Miguel Damas	0:2
15.10.21	Miguel Damas - Max Alcala Gurri	2:1

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