Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Vila Real de Santo António 2, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Max Basing		Gauthier Onclin

	1	2
			Watch
	1.76	1.95	Watch
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.76	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.83)	1.92 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Basing
52.1%

Gauthier Onclin
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Basing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Gauthier Onclin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Basing than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Max Basing that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gauthier Onclin than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gauthier Onclin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Max Basing - Gauthier Onclin Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Onclin (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Basing is ranked ATP: 366. Onclin is ranked ATP: 312.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Onclin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Max Basing - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Gauthier Onclin - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Basing
ITF Tournaments
20.02.26	Ryan Peniston - Max Basing	Peniston R. retired ✺
19.02.26	Diego Fernandez Flores - Max Basing	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Goncalo Da Rosa Castro - Max Basing	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Adria Soriano Barrera - Max Basing	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Max Basing - Liam Broady	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 ?WWWW
- Gauthier Onclin
ITF Tournaments
20.02.26	Tiago Pereira - Gauthier Onclin	1:2 ✺
19.02.26	Massimo Giunta - Gauthier Onclin	1:2 ✺
18.02.26	Maxwell McKennon - Gauthier Onclin	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Adria Soriano Barrera - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Gauthier Onclin - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLW

Max Basing - Gauthier Onclin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide