Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Adria Soriano Barrera		Gauthier Onclin

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.71	1.47
	3.72	1.22	Watch
	2.63	1.44
	2.59	1.44	Watch
	2.57	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.33)	1.4 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adria Soriano Barrera
33%

Gauthier Onclin
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

66%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adria Soriano Barrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adria Soriano Barrera's form might have worsened.

Gauthier Onclin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gauthier Onclin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adria Soriano Barrera than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gauthier Onclin than the current prediction. (-1%)

Adria Soriano Barrera - Gauthier Onclin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Soriano Barrera is ranked ATP: 391. Onclin is ranked ATP: 317.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Onclin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Onclin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Soriano Barrera won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Gauthier Onclin - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 60.87%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adria Soriano Barrera
ITF Tournaments
13.02.26	Kaichi Uchida - Adria Soriano Barrera	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Hugo Maia - Adria Soriano Barrera	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Lui Maxted - Adria Soriano Barrera	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
08.02.26	Taha Baadi - Adria Soriano Barrera	Canceled ✺
07.02.26	Reda Bennani - Adria Soriano Barrera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWW?L
- Gauthier Onclin
ITF Tournaments
13.02.26	Gauthier Onclin - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Gauthier Onclin - Guilherme Valdoleiros	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.02.26	Gauthier Onclin - George Loffhagen	0:2 ✺
20.01.26	Daniil Glinka - Gauthier Onclin	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
11.01.26	Martin Damm - Gauthier Onclin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
03.11.22	Gauthier Onclin - Adria Soriano Barrera	2:0
02.03.22	Adria Soriano Barrera - Gauthier Onclin	0:2

Adria Soriano Barrera - Gauthier Onclin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide