Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Vila Real de Santo António 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Tiago Pereira		Gauthier Onclin

	1	2
			Watch
	2.75	1.39	Watch
	2.74	1.46
	2.85	1.36	Watch
	2.63	1.4
	2.69	1.41	Watch
	2.71	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.72)	1.4 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiago Pereira
33.9%

Gauthier Onclin
66.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

66.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiago Pereira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Gauthier Onclin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gauthier Onclin than the current prediction. (-4%)

Tiago Pereira - Gauthier Onclin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pereira is ranked ATP: 269. Onclin is ranked ATP: 312.

In recent matches, Pereira has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Onclin is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pereira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Onclin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Onclin will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiago Pereira
ITF Tournaments
19.02.26	Tiago Pereira - Georgii Kravchenko	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Tiago Pereira - Joao Domingues	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.02.26	Miguel Damas - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Jaime Faria - Tiago Pereira	2:1 ✺
20.01.26	Tiago Pereira - Andres Andrade	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLLL
- Gauthier Onclin
ITF Tournaments
19.02.26	Massimo Giunta - Gauthier Onclin	1:2 ✺
18.02.26	Maxwell McKennon - Gauthier Onclin	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Adria Soriano Barrera - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Gauthier Onclin - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Gauthier Onclin - Guilherme Valdoleiros	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWW

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