Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokohama, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 November 2025, Tuesday


	Max Basing		Hikaru Shiraishi

	1	2
	1.29	3.5	Watch
			Watch
	1.27	3.25	Watch
	1.29	3.68
	1.30	3.26	Watch
	1.26	3.49	Watch
	1.38	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.5)	3.31 ↑ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Basing
71.8%

Hikaru Shiraishi
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Basing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Max Basing's performance.

Hikaru Shiraishi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hikaru Shiraishi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Basing than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Max Basing that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hikaru Shiraishi than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hikaru Shiraishi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Max Basing - Hikaru Shiraishi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Basing (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Max Basing will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Basing is ranked ATP: 416. Shiraishi is ranked ATP: 439.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Basing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Basing could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Basing
ATP Challenger
10.11.25	Max Basing - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Akira Santillan - Max Basing	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Masamichi Imamura - Max Basing	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Max Basing - Frederico Ferreira Silva	0:2 ✺
03.11.25	Max Basing - Ryuki Matsuda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWLW
- Hikaru Shiraishi
ATP Challenger
09.11.25	Yusuke Takahashi - Hikaru Shiraishi	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Yusuke Kusuhara - Hikaru Shiraishi	1:2 ✺
03.11.25	Hikaru Shiraishi - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.10.25	Hikaru Shiraishi - Braden Shick	2:0 ✺
23.10.25	Hikaru Shiraishi - Ryota Tanuma	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWW

Max Basing - Hikaru Shiraishi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide