Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kobe, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 November 2025, Monday


	Max Basing		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.99	1.73	Watch
	2.11	1.75
	1.78	1.95	Watch
	1.97	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.8)	1.78 ↓ (1.99)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Max Basing
47.4%

Rei Sakamoto
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Basing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Max Basing's form might have worsened.

Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rei Sakamoto's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Basing than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Max Basing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rei Sakamoto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Max Basing - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Basing (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Basing is ranked ATP: 416. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 180.

Basing is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sakamoto is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sakamoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Basing
ATP Challenger
09.11.25	Akira Santillan - Max Basing	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Masamichi Imamura - Max Basing	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Max Basing - Frederico Ferreira Silva	0:2 ✺
03.11.25	Max Basing - Ryuki Matsuda	2:1 ✺
03.11.25	Max Basing - Naoya Honda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWW
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
26.10.25	Rei Sakamoto - Michal Krajci	0:2 ✺
20.10.25	Mae Malige - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
ATP Stockholm
11.10.25	Rei Sakamoto - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
02.10.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW

Upcoming Matches