Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday


	Max Basing		Mili Poljicak

	1	2
	1.50	2.50	Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.46	2.63	Watch
	1.5	2.41	Watch
	1.49	2.65
	1.45	2.56	Watch
	1.47	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.66)	2.54 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Basing
63.3%

Mili Poljicak
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Basing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Max Basing's performance.

Mili Poljicak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mili Poljicak might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Basing than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Max Basing that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mili Poljicak than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mili Poljicak could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Max Basing - Mili Poljicak Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Basing will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Basing is ranked ATP: 241., and Poljicak is ranked ATP: 291..

Basing has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Poljicak has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Poljicak could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Basing is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Mili Poljicak - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.2%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Basing
ITF Tournaments
16.09.26	Max Basing - Giorgio Tabacco	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.09.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Max Basing	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Harold Mayot - Max Basing	0:2 ✺
11.09.26	Max Basing - Edas Butvilas	2:0 ✺
10.09.26	Max Basing - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LWWWW
- Mili Poljicak
ATP Challenger
07.09.26	Mili Poljicak - Stefanos Sakellaridis	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Matej Dodig - Mili Poljicak	2:0 ✺
24.08.26	Mili Poljicak - Max Schoenhaus	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.08.26	Mili Poljicak - Sebastian Dominko	0:2 ✺
18.08.26	Mili Poljicak - Vaal Urankar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLW

Max Basing - Mili Poljicak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide