Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Luanda, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Max Houkes		Arthur Nagel

	1	2
			Watch
	1.7	2.02	Watch
	1.65	2.08	Watch
	1.67	2.08	Watch
	1.61	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.73)	2.08 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Houkes
55.6%

Arthur Nagel
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Houkes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Arthur Nagel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Nagel than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Max Houkes - Arthur Nagel Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Houkes (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Houkes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Houkes is ranked ATP: 270. Nagel is ranked ATP: 617.

Houkes is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nagel is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Houkes
ITF Tournaments
21.11.25	Max Houkes - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	Max Houkes - Matyas Fuele	2:1 ✺
19.11.25	Max Houkes - Alex Kuperstein	2:1 ✺
06.11.25	Branko Djuric - Max Houkes	2:1 ✺
05.11.25	Mwendwa Mbithi - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWLW
- Arthur Nagel
ITF Tournaments
21.11.25	Mikail Alimli - Arthur Nagel	0:2 ✺
20.11.25	Alan Bojarski - Arthur Nagel	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Aaron Gil Garcia - Arthur Nagel	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Toby Samuel - Arthur Nagel	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Arthur Nagel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWW

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