Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Luanda, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	Max Houkes		Yanis Ghazouani Durand

	1	2
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.86	1.82	Watch
	1.94	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.73)	1.88 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Houkes
50.5%

Yanis Ghazouani Durand
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Houkes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Yanis Ghazouani Durand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yanis Ghazouani Durand than the current prediction. (-3%)

Max Houkes - Yanis Ghazouani Durand Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Houkes is ranked ATP: 270. Ghazouani Durand is ranked ATP: 763.

In recent matches, Houkes has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ghazouani Durand is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Houkes
ITF Tournaments
20.11.25	Max Houkes - Matyas Fuele	2:1 ✺
19.11.25	Max Houkes - Alex Kuperstein	2:1 ✺
06.11.25	Branko Djuric - Max Houkes	2:1 ✺
05.11.25	Mwendwa Mbithi - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.10.25	Ilia Simakin - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWL
- Yanis Ghazouani Durand
ITF Tournaments
20.11.25	Jordi Mas De Ugarte - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Christopher Bulus - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Arthur Nagel	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Lorenzo Angelini	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Maximilian Homberg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWW

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