Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Malta, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Yanis Ghazouani Durand		Arthur Nagel

	1	2
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.84	1.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.83)	1.85 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yanis Ghazouani Durand
50.1%

Arthur Nagel
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yanis Ghazouani Durand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Arthur Nagel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yanis Ghazouani Durand than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Nagel than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Arthur Nagel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ghazouani Durand is ranked ATP: 761. Nagel is ranked ATP: 750.

Recent performances by Ghazouani Durand have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nagel is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ghazouani Durand may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Yanis Ghazouani Durand - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Arthur Nagel - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yanis Ghazouani Durand
ITF Tournaments
31.10.25	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Lorenzo Angelini	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Maximilian Homberg	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Vincent Marysko	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Josip Simundza - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Branko Djuric - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLL
- Arthur Nagel
ITF Tournaments
31.10.25	Arthur Nagel - Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Arthur Nagel - Leonid Sheyngezikht	2:1 ✺
29.10.25	Arthur Nagel - Tadija Radovanovic	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Tom Paris - Arthur Nagel	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Ben Jones - Arthur Nagel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLW

Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Arthur Nagel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide