Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Modena, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 July 2025, Tuesday


	Max Houkes		Federico Agustin Gomez

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.29	1.55	Watch
			Watch
			Watch
	2.27	1.59	Watch
	2.29	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.05)	1.56 ↓ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Houkes
40.4%

Federico Agustin Gomez
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Houkes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Max Houkes's form might have worsened.

Federico Agustin Gomez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Federico Agustin Gomez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Max Houkes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Agustin Gomez than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Federico Agustin Gomez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Max Houkes - Federico Agustin Gomez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Houkes is ranked ATP: 256. Gomez is ranked ATP: 139.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Houkes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Houkes
ATP Challenger
26.06.25	Marco Cecchinato - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
25.06.25	Thomas Faurel - Max Houkes	1:2 ✺
24.06.25	Giovanni Fonio - Max Houkes	1:2 ✺
24.06.25	Francesco Forti - Max Houkes	Canceled ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
08.06.25	Max Houkes - Alexander Blockx	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWW?L
- Federico Agustin Gomez
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.25	Leandro Riedi - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:1 ✺
23.06.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.25	Cameron Norrie - Federico Agustin Gomez	3:0 ✺
27.05.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Federico Agustin Gomez	1:3 ✺
23.05.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWL

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