Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 PALMANOVA 2 (SPAIN), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 25 March 2023, Saturday


	Max Houkes		Gianmarco Ferrari

	1	2
	2.05	1.65
	2.15	1.65
	2.24	1.63
	2.1	1.67
	2.14	1.63	Watch
	2.1	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.38)	1.65 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Houkes
43.6%

Gianmarco Ferrari
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Houkes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Gianmarco Ferrari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Max Houkes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianmarco Ferrari than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gianmarco Ferrari could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Max Houkes - Gianmarco Ferrari Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Houkes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Houkes
ITF Tournaments
24.03.23	Max Houkes - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
23.03.23	Max Houkes - Gabriele Piraino	2:0 ✺
21.03.23	Max Houkes - Joan Nadal	2:0 ✺
15.03.23	Max Houkes - Alex Marti Pujolras	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.03.23	Max Houkes - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLL
- Gianmarco Ferrari
ITF Tournaments
24.03.23	Alex Marti Pujolras - Gianmarco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
23.03.23	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Gianmarco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
21.03.23	Gianmarco Ferrari - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
15.03.23	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.03.23	Gianmarco Ferrari - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
23.09.21	Max Houkes - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:0

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